**Publications**

- Palley, A.B., Soll, J.B. 2019. Extracting the Wisdom of Crowds When Information is Shared.
*Management Science***65**(5): 2291-2309.- Winner of the 2018 Hillel Einhorn New Investigator Award, presented by the Society for Judgment and Decision Making.
- Winner of the 2015 Decision Analysis Society Student Paper Award.

- Offerman, T., Palley, A.B. 2016. Lossed in Translation: An Off-the-Shelf Method to Recover Probabilistic Beliefs from Loss-Averse Agents.
*Experimental Economics***19**(1): 1-30. - Palley, A.B., Kremer, M. 2014. Sequential Search and Learning from Rank Feedback: Theory and Experimental Evidence.
*Management Science***60**(10): 2525-2542. - Keeney, R.L., Palley, A.B. 2013. Decision Strategies to Reduce Teenage and Young Adult Deaths in the United States.
*Risk Analysis***33**(9): 1661-1676.

**Working Papers**

- Palley, A.B., Bansal, S. 2019. Is it Better to Elicit Quantile or Probability Judgments to Estimate a Continuous Distribution?
- Soll, J.B., Palley, A.B., Klayman, J., Moore, D.A. 2019. Overconfidence in Probability Distributions: People Know They Don’t Know but They Don’t Know What to Do About It
*.* - Soll, J.B., Palley, A.B., Rader, C.A. 2019. Advice Taking, Accuracy, and Overconfidence.
- Palley, A.B., Steffen, T.D., Zhang, X.F. 2019. Consensus Analyst Target Prices: Information Content and Implications for Investors.
- Palley, A.B. 2017. Extending the Wisdom of Crowds: Quantifying Uncertainty Using the Mean and Variance of a Collection of Point Estimates.
- Palley, A.B. 2013. Great Expectations: Prospect Theory with a Consistent Reference Point.